What's going on? life as I know it seems to be completely changing.
For years I've been told 'get on the property ladder'. So you do. The struggle to keep on that property ladder is immense in todays climate.
Yesterday on GMTV, the lovely Martin was saying that first time buyers should now be thinking twice about buying property and instead just rent.
Are we heading for a recession?
I Think PK's got it about right.
In truth there is no one simple answer as the house market is a complicated compendium of inter-related socio-econmical-geographical-emolumental-fiscal-creditliquidity press as always print what grabs your attention not the reality as that requires pages of boring economic statistical analysis.
The reality is some areas will experience price falls , others may still increase. There is still a national shortage of housing. Developments of middle and up market low rise flats(i.e waterside regeneration schemes)became lucrative for developers but it's limited suitability for all social groupings against increasing mortgage rates created a national surplus of such accomodation leading to many unsold developments and subsequent heavy discounting of prices ..which headlined several months family accomodation is still in short supply.
Rent v Buy is a gamble ..based on market speculation that the desired property type in the desired geograpical area will experience price erosion off setting the dead money payment of buying at the turn of the market when in real terms the house of your desires may well be cheaper...Like all gambling there will be winners and losers so beware.
Remember the people that rent the property to you are making money from you.
Property ownership is at the heart of the british society and it has proved over the medium(5-10 years) to long term that it is a sound investment now is no different.
Recession...well we can talk ourselves in to a recession but we can't talk ourselves out of one . Now is a time for applied common sense
Ngde
well this is rather pertinent at my point in time i i would rather get back on the ladder as if i dont do it now i dont think i ever will, its a complete jungle out there. :silly:
What ever the experts say today, you can guarantee they will change their mind as soon as the "Credit Crunch" is over.
Personally we have a mortgage but can see the attraction in not having one of those hanging over you.
P & H
This is our first post in the forums!
we are renting at the moment cus it takes time to sort out our old mortgages etc
however mine is now sorted out but the rent we pay for a smallish property (far smaller than my old house) is as much as my old mortgage payment !!
will buy when possible in the future
Life isn't all about the house you live in and the car you drive etc,etc.
If these things are supposed to make you have a "better life" but the price of having the bigger house and better car are too high, then are you REALLY having the "better life", struggling to pay for them and working every hour possible to maintain them?
A while back I had a really good job and was getting paid a lot of money, but I hated the job and got no satisfaction. I left and now I have a job that pays less than half of the last one and we have had to make some lifestyle changes in the form of the cars we drive etc but my quality of life and enjoyment of it has quadrupled!!
I'm mot sure about a real recession in the very worst sense Jaymar, but I think there may be tough times ahead for the people who are already struggling a little to maintain the lifestyle that they now have. I think some folk will have to make sacrifices to pay the bills, and that shiny new car on the drive they have on HP might turn into a not so shiny and new one etc.
Some people will inevitably always be looking longingly forward to the day that they can re-afford that shiny new motor car and fall back into the consumerism trap, whilst others will come to realise that they never needed it and are better off without it!!
Anyway enough rambling, I'm off to pay for a litre of petrol :shock:
Interest rates do have an effect on rental prices, it just takes a little longer to filter through. A landlord, who has a mortgage on a property, will have to pass the rise in interest rate costs on eventually.
I had a mortgage back when interest rates hit 15% and it was crippling, but now that the bank of England is in charge of the interest rate changes, I can't see it getting back to that. Plus, back then, people were only allowed three to three and a half percent of thier income against a mortgage, whereas now it can sometimes be five or six times with self-cirtified mortgages, which is what has caused most of the problems with the banks.
House prices have only risen because people keep paying them, if everyone stopped paying rediculous prices for property the market would soon stagnate and prices would drop back to a sensible rate.
H.x
Most of the problem has been the mortgage lenders fault with allowing greater then 3.5* mortgages due to the fact that the interest rates were low... problem is a small increase in rates now equates to a large increase in the monthly amount required to meet the mortgage.
I also think the media is trying its damndest to talk this country into a recession... we all saw what a badly worded comment did to northern rock where as if nothing had hit the papers the bank would have got a short term loan from the BoE and no one would have been any the wiser and there would have not been a run on the bank.
The other problem with the housing valuation is that a lot of builders and property management companys have been fiddling the figures by including the "free deposit, free furnature, free what ever" in the actual sale value... So a 150K house with a deposit paid of 30K should be registered as 120K at the land registry as the "seller" gets the 30K back as soon as the paperwork is sorted and funds transfered but a lot have been inflating the land registry details by regestering the full 150K inflating the true value of houses.
Personally this country needs a bit of a recession to bring things back into line with earnings as we are over charged for just about everything we buy as credit has been so redily available.
We bought our house 12 years ago for 60k. It's now valued at 250k :scared:
Does that make me happy? No! If the prices had stayed the same we could move up the ladder for an extra 10K or so. As things stand, we'd need to look for something around 300K - another 50k on top of what we might get for ours.
I remember seeing a report on the BBC website a couple of years ago. The guy (can't remember who it was, or the exact figures) was saying he'd be happy for his 500K house to get devalued to £1. Yes - he'd lose loads of equity, but he could also afford to upgrade to a house the size of Buckingham Palace for an extra £10 on his mortgage. Makes you think doesn't it.
We rent our house from the local authority, I would love to own our home, however I will not work myself into an early grave to get on the property ladder. For the moment we are quite happy where we are. If we get the oppertunity to buy our house from the council then we may look at doing that but other than that whats the point it will only get swallowed up in nursing home fees and inheritance tax...
The bad times will last until about 1 year before the next election, then Gordon will do all he can to restore the feel good factor. Then as soon as the next Gov. (who ever it maybe) is elected, taxes will go up, in one form or another.
John
Cynical? Me? Never!
So what is the difference between paying rent to live in someone else's property and letting them gain capital appreciation at your expense and paying a mortgage so you can benefit from capital gain in your own property?
There is no recession, money has not simply disappeared from the economy - it is still there, it hasn't gone anywhere. It is great to be an optimist in todays climate and anyone dreaming that house prices will crash is living in another world. Our tiny island is overun with people and they all need somewhere to live. Top end stuff and apartments may be stuttering at the moment but small two and three bed houses will always be in demand.
Interest rates are falling but lenders are putting up rates, they call it consolidating - I call it profiteering. Really they are just trying to claw back losses made with risky lending but everything will sort itself out within a year or so.
Our advise to anyone would be not to buy one house - but two. You will always be trapped with housing inflation if you only ever own one house but if you own two then your second house almost becomes a pension - rising equity whilst a tenant pays your mortgage. You should be so lucky I hear you say - I say anything is possible if you try hard enough and you want to actually make it happen. The auctions are a good place to start!!
i rent from a RSL, (registered social landlord)
resonable rent ( half of that for same in area)
no mantinence to worry about and no fear of losing my home.
im one of the lucky ones.
if when the government had sold off all council houses to the tenents and RSL's, they had used the billions raised to re build there would be more affordable housing to rent.
i live to my means, i work hard, balance the books as best i can, i have no credit, and no over draft. the bank wont give me any of these cuse i have a basic account and no house as security. But i prefer it this way.
its not just the mortgages that are throwing people into dispare but the fact companies lend extra money far to easy secured on the house.
when couple then split, their house may now be worth 100k more but they owe most of that in credit/debt.
then neither have enough to buy again.
then with the extended staep families everyone wants bigger houses for the weekend visitors
sorry rambling
xxx fem xx
see... this question split me in half... and here is why,
up until the bit where I bought my house I would very much in the "rent" camp.. and I can still see some benefit to the renting lark....
however.. me personally... buying my house was one of the best things I ever did.....
the amount of money I was spending on renting was less than the mortgage on my house... and as my mum always like to point out, in a sense renting is "dead money" i.e it isn't getting you anywhere.....
if i had bought before I would have nearly paid off my house now (only 4 years to go now)
I do feel sorry for people now.. I think I would struggle to get on the housing ladder and would be left with the renting option....
The simple fact is that rent is paid for ever and you get nothing. A mortgage does at least have an end, and you have something, true you do have to maintain it...
In the long run, when you have finished paying for the house you are better-off.
Travis