UKIP Party Political Broadcast

22 Nov 2014

My gut feeling over next years election is:
Consrvatives: They won't have an overall majority. They will lose some seats to UKIP and this will be branded all across our media, but they will still be the largest party in Parliament.
Lib Dem's won't feature at all. They will be decimated as a party because the general public feels that they haven't delivered on promises and have been seen as the tories toadies in the coalition. They currently have around 50 - 60 MP's and I think they will end up with about a third of this.
Labour: They will stick with the boy miliiband, but dump him next year when they fail to get a majority. They will lose seats in Scotland to SNP predominantly but will still be the second biggest party.
UKIP: Will probably do very well for themselves. Two months ago they didnt have a single MP, they now have 2. In 6 months time I think they will have around 20 - 30. They could very easily emerge as the third party in UK politics, pushing the Lib Dems into 4th place, perhaps even 5th behind the SNP.
Others (Inc SNP): There will probably be around 50 others, around 20 more than there are curently mainly due to the SNP wiping the floor with Labour north of the border.
This will leave us looking for another coalition. Which will be very hard to form for anyone. There is no chance of a Lab-Con coalition, and Lib-Lab on Con- Lib is highly unlikely. The SNP & UKIP will probably hold the balance of power and therein lies a bigger issue. SNP will not allign with Labour as following beating them in the North, I just can't see it; and Nigel Farage said this week that he will not form a coalition unless there is a referendum on Europe next year before the summer recess. That's within 3 months of the election!
So all in all I think we are heading towards either a conglomeration of parties mixed in with the big two or most likely a hung parliament and another election by 2017.

22 Nov 2014

Seems we think broadly similar, Trev. One point that I would differ from you though is that Sturgeon is very definitely left of centre and whilst the SNP may not forge a formal coalition with Labour, they may well work with them to stop a Tory or Tory UKIP Government and also extracting much of what the SNPs want from Westminster.
Interesting times!

22 Nov 2014

Max, the way I see it is that the SNP are/will wipe the floor with Labour up there. Which means that the electorate don't agree with Labour atm. So why would the SNP then allign themselves with Labour?
If I helped to vote out Labour and then ended up in a coalition with them I think it would get right up my sporan!
Yes I know the Lib Dems have done it, and we have all seen the backlash. Surely the SNP would be fully aware of that too?

23 Nov 2014

The rump of the seats will be made up by the two main parties still but it will be fascinating how the the other parties do! All I would say about UKIP is I am old enough to remember when the SDP were going to re write the political rule book, they bombed at the general election. At the last election, the Liberal Democrats were looking like they would win between 90 and 100 seats. They actually lost seats.
The SNP could do very well and the Ulster Unionist vote is guaranteed, as is Sinn Fein (although they probably wont take up there seats. Add a Green Party MP, a couple of Plaid Cymru MPs and it could be the biggest party has to work with more than one other party.

23 Nov 2014

Quote by Trevaunance
Max, the way I see it is that the SNP are/will wipe the floor with Labour up there. Which means that the electorate don't agree with Labour atm. So why would the SNP then allign themselves with Labour?
If I helped to vote out Labour and then ended up in a coalition with them I think it would get right up my sporan!
Yes I know the Lib Dems have done it, and we have all seen the backlash. Surely the SNP would be fully aware of that too?

As I said, an SNP/Labour coalition is very unlikely but Sturgeon has already said she may work with Labour on a policy by policy basis. That could put her in a trendous position of power and doubtless Labour will have to pay the price for her support.

29 Nov 2014

Quote by herts_darlings1
So many choices on who not to vote for....Eeeny meeny ..
But anyway, Nigel Farage has a nice tie so he has my vote.

If we judge suitability to lead on the standard of a man's tie then I should go into politics! I have some lovely ties. Can't help thinking it is a bit sexist though as most ladies don't feel comfortable in a tie. Although using the same theory,I always thought Condalisa Rice must have been a good politician as she always looked like she smelt lovely. Sadly Mr Farage does not look very fragrant and 2 hours after that photo was taken it was covered in beer and gravy stains lol

Now, That's the way to wear a tie... :rascal:

29 Nov 2014

Quote by GnV
So many choices on who not to vote for....Eeeny meeny ..
But anyway, Nigel Farage has a nice tie so he has my vote.

If we judge suitability to lead on the standard of a man's tie then I should go into politics! I have some lovely ties. Can't help thinking it is a bit sexist though as most ladies don't feel comfortable in a tie. Although using the same theory,I always thought Condalisa Rice must have been a good politician as she always looked like she smelt lovely. Sadly Mr Farage does not look very fragrant and 2 hours after that photo was taken it was covered in beer and gravy stains lol

Now, That's the way to wear a tie... :rascal:
I stand corrected, more ladies in ties please.

16 Dec 2014

Farage was on TV last night being interviewed/getting pissed with Steph and Dom Parker (from Gogglebox). I've got to admit that I'm not full of praise for Farage, but it was entertaining TV and I thought he was very relaxed and open. I wouldn't imagine that DC or Silliband would have came across as well as he did.

16 Dec 2014

Quote by Trevaunance
Farage was on TV last night being interviewed/getting pissed with Steph and Dom Parker (from Gogglebox). I've got to admit that I'm not full of praise for Farage, but it was entertaining TV and I thought he was very relaxed and open. I wouldn't imagine that DC or Silliband would have came across as well as he did.

I agree. I was impressed by how well he conducted himself under pressure from Mr and Mrs Dreadful-Parker getting pissed out of their boxes and swearing like troopers.
IIRC, Mr Farage only let slip a sotto voce 'shit!' when he unexpectedly stumbled on the top step, breaking the wine glass he was nursing, the contents of which then spilled out soiling his trousers.
I doubt I would have said less myself wink

Also particularly enlightening was his comment about the lack of certainty the UK could/would ever leave Europe.

17 Dec 2014

Quote by MidsCouple24
I don't know a lot about politics, I am one of many voters who would have to admit that, I had decided to vote UKIP this time round, I want changes in the EU or out of it.
Having listened to the 2 minute Party Political Broadcast they have just made I am re-thinking my choice.
Nothing they said as much as what they didn't say, although the Councillor who said he supports UKIP because he doesn't want houses built didn't help or the one that wants the community to make the decisions, ok I think it is important to take community opinion into account, I hope we are paying councillors a lot of money to guide us in decisions through a knowledge of a bigger picture.
For example a second runway at Gatwick, can't see the locals being too happy but the bigger picture is the effect it could have on the whole of the UK not just the local residents (who as a matter of fact would have their council tax paid for them by the airport by way of compensation) and the Councillor who wants the community to make all the decisions through referendums (ouch that could cost a fortune) or the one who is a UKIP Councillor because they work harder than any other Councillors (his words not mine)
The only good thing said was that the British People should rule Britain, but I don't see what local Councillors can do about the EU that the Government can't do, I might still vote for them but perhaps not in the local elections just the big one.

"the only good thing said was that the british people should rule britain"
all members of parliament are compromised by the surveillance of the british state apparatus and will vote in the interests of the economically most powerful who own the state and that is not the british people. it is international finance capital that resides in the tax free city state of the city of london.
if farage and co dont toe the line in those interests, his light aircraft crash (warning) may become heavy. a la robin cook etc etc

27 Dec 2014

"the only good thing said was that the british people should rule britain"
If Red Ed gets the keys to Downing Street next May, perhaps he'll consider a merger with the Elysée Palace alongside his bestest mate François Hollande - renown after kiss and tell disclosures by his most recent ex - the Rottweiler, in her recent book - that he absolutely detests poor people. They can console each other over crates of finest Krug...
But of the British ruling Britain, I agree. I hadn't appreciated that it is the Scottish MPs - mainly Labour of course - who prevent the English from enjoying their centuries old sport of hunting with dogs and no doubt a few more things too.
Good then to see Mr Farage enjoying a glass of good old British ale at a Boxing Day hunt rather than the more traditional toff's tipple. This really is a 'man of the people'.